Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.768191 17.159637 19.758332 22.784688 26.204579 29.941594 34.326146
2025-08-31 10.123799 13.235718 16.962253 21.718615 27.589394 34.557284 43.407854
2025-09-07 8.041326 11.532116 16.038037 22.200401 30.316543 40.538758 54.268906
2025-09-14 6.641750 10.306034 15.343996 22.637859 32.762184 46.130340 64.888977
2025-09-21 5.387167 8.993963 14.248616 22.257508 33.905002 49.933285 73.291252
2025-09-28 4.377892 7.833418 13.148366 21.642428 34.530261 52.935276 80.671663
2025-10-05 4.061116 7.686263 13.510180 23.173566 38.329501 60.603123 95.043249
2025-10-12 3.729951 7.449871 13.678471 24.384191 41.700087 67.829055 109.190580
2025-10-19 3.289550 6.944053 13.326632 24.693762 43.653023 73.018594 120.587653
2025-10-26 2.894350 6.450346 12.920596 24.844024 45.320896 77.827897 131.635096
2025-11-02 2.493457 5.874368 12.287292 24.517191 46.139689 81.309344 140.768346
2025-11-09 2.122885 5.291996 11.560430 23.930184 46.436252 83.923963 148.619151
2025-11-16 1.768270 4.700854 10.782054 23.247919 46.657842 86.678574 157.305986
2025-11-23 1.428531 4.075095 9.851523 22.184933 46.134779 88.210945 164.213972
2025-11-30 1.276672 3.857715 9.729048 22.679440 48.501674 94.847760 180.094225
2025-12-07 1.141239 3.650546 9.594730 23.125705 50.800360 101.494899 196.356351
2025-12-14 0.968710 3.304367 9.093399 22.738366 51.434173 105.178152 207.632059
2025-12-21 0.809292 2.952291 8.518039 22.111789 51.516426 107.827744 217.184783
2025-12-28 0.787438 2.997672 8.909334 23.671516 56.164369 119.246737 243.149994
2026-01-04 0.748901 2.983311 9.148175 24.904563 60.220712 129.763911 267.966860
2026-01-11 0.672135 2.828063 9.001342 25.219844 62.356538 136.709703 286.504223
2026-01-18 0.597970 2.661506 8.797709 25.372874 64.146520 143.071572 304.244587
2026-01-25 0.515858 2.443058 8.415327 25.040018 64.832988 147.275884 318.073584